Showing posts with label Berlin. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Berlin. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 2, 2008

Session Review -- VISUAL NETWORKING - THE EVOLUTION OF SOCIAL NETWORKS

Stuart Sikes began the presentation with background information. Visual networking is the concept of social networking converging with video services. These could be across all three screens – the PC, the TV, and the mobile phone. Sikes said that consumer trends point to the blending of social networking and video applications. First, active users of social networks in the U.S. has grown significantly. He presented data from Parks Associates’ Digital Media Habits I and II surveys that indicates that U.S. broadband users who actively use social networks has grown from 27% in 2006 to 40% in 2007.

Social networking can be an important aspect to viral marketing of content – movies, music, and TV shows. People rely on friends and family recommendations significantly for being connected to new sources of content and entertainment. Commercials are the number one source for how people discover content, but the personal recommendations are going to be critical. This will be important for TV service providers as they evolve their electronic program guides to include personal recommendations.

Finally, our TV 2.0 study reveals that visual social networking features – such as the ability to share DVR content with friends and see “most-watched” lists – are important community aspects of the media experience.

Udo Biro, Nokia Siemens Networks - The title of his presentation is “Rich Media Experience: Interest is High … but Evolution is Best.” Rich services expand far beyond traditional TV to meet end consumer demands. NSN is looking at three key elements: Personalization – Basic TV with EPG, VoD, Premium Channels, PVR; Interactivity – Internet on TV; and Community – targeted advertising, connected home (link PC to TV), rich media experience (converged TV solutions – TV, PC, and mobile phones). Consumers are going through a learning curve. NSN is testing chatting over TV. People are interested in the basic things, but it requires and evolution. NSN focusing on rich media experience – anytime, anywhere, on any device. On the Move: Seamless mobile TV (unicast & DVB-H broadcast service convergence) and interactivity and advertising. At home: High-definition IPTV offering a personal TV experience and basic interactive services including voting, betting, and advertising. In consumer tests, PVR and time-shifting viewed as most popular. Basic things are more interesting first, then community services like chat or UGC become interesting. It needs some time to develop. “We need to walk before we run.” Unified and consistent look and feel across devices is very important. Down the road, there will be cross-device interaction.

Stefan Jenzowsky, MoreTV - They offer “smartPVR” services: premium EPG; recommendation engines for PVRs and STBs; remote recordings; and recording assistants; recommendation service trial (since 12/2007) includes the following: viewer profiling, automatic recording; assisted zapping, targeted advertising; and next-generation media recommendation engine based on viewer profiling and collaborative filtering algorithms. Community TV includes buddy recommendations and buddy recordings (up to seven friends and family members can receive these – different laws than in the U.S.). TiVo is probably the closest company to MoreTV. MoreTV is in 250,000 devices – more than Deutsche Telekom has in Germany right now. MoreTV service portfolio includes the following: Smart PVR/Premium EPG; WebTV (“YouTube on the TV”); and Filter Functions. Their roadmap encompasses targeted advertising, sports betting, network-based PVR (nPVR) and virtual PVR (vPVR), community-based TV (recommendations and chat) – believe that recommendations is more important than chatting.

Alx Klive, WorldTV.com - WorldTV.com is a consumer-facing site. It gives consumers tools that were once only available to broadcasters – allow people to create their own TV station including high-definition and full-screen. There are worldwide users in 162 countries. People can be “content curators” in addition to content creators. Additionally, people can pull in content from YouTube. Music and comedy channels are popular, as well as political channels. Two kinds of channels – personal tastes and people trying to replicate the broadcast TV experience. You can pull video in using a Webcam, so people can introduce things like music videos. Partnership with a company called Qik (a live streaming tool) – can send out video to mobile phones. Interesting insights include the following: 70% of people under the age of 24 would like to be able to watch Internet content on their TV; and people don’t want to have just one option for Internet video – not just YouTube. It can’t be a walled garden and needs to be open.

Ashley Norris, Shiny Media - Shiny Media is the UK’s biggest blog network. It is a consultant for digital agency Shiny Red. Currently working on a video-based start-up. They have been successful in building a brand. If you look at the history of online TV, what we had at the beginning was the viral stuff from YouTube, which is throwaway. Then, the BBC iPlayer is a very different experience – a high-quality experience. Shiny has been successful in creating media for an online audience. Beyond an interactive television includes: generation Y (16-24 years old); significant growth of viewers surfing while watching TV/online video and 50% are doing this; integration of communication tools within video players; and development of live streaming tools such as Qik and Kyte.

Fernando Gil de Bernabé, Cisco - Cisco's eight principles for the near future include:



  1. Most video content will be streamed – important for getting video to any device, including mobile
  2. The combination of video and Web 2.0 will create a new medium; visual networking. We haven’t really seen the possibilities of how visual networking could impact things like watching sports. Sharing and chatting with other people. Uploading content. Entertainment, education, healthcare all can be impacted. This is more than just “interactive TV.”
  3. Content will increasingly “find you.” Why can’t system be customized to recommend videos based on past searches or experience? The best way to guess what you are going to watch next is to look at the behaviors of people who have watched similar videos. What do they do next? This will be instrumental in building an engine that will help navigate through the massive amounts of content on the Web.
  4. Advertising will be targeted and personalized. If advertising could know who you are and your activities, maybe more people will watch it.
  5. Expectations on broadband quality will increase.
  6. Fiber or upgraded cable to the masses. People will start demanding this as they see what extremely high-speed networks can deliver in terms of quality and quantity.
  7. “Web on the go”: contextuality of people, time and place will drive the next wave. People will want to have the same utility that they have in front of their PCs.
  8. Quality of experience will earn consumer loyalty. How can service providers compete with “over-the-top” eating their lunch? Why can’t telcos brand themselves better in terms of the quality experience?

A New User Experience includes video characteristics (High-definition, Multiple screens, On demand, Immersive/emotional) and social networking characteristics (Communities of content, Communities of people, Personalization, Discovery). 50% of the traffic on the Internet in Europe is video. 60% of all Internet traffic will be video by 2011. Convergence of video and social networking becomes “visual networking.”

Questions:

Q. When you mention YouTube on the TV…at what point does the operator become the party that gets sued because of copyright infringement?

A. Since WorldTV is merely bookmarking YouTube, they are not hosting the content themselves, so they stay out of trouble.

Q. Are there opportunities for non-traditional players in providing targeted advertising solutions?

A1. There will likely be collaboration, and different players will have roles in targeted VoD advertising.

A2. MoreTV has indications that post-roll advertising may have a role.

Q. Will the consumer pay directly for these visual networking features?

A1 MoreTV: just introduced a most-watched top 10 list. They charge 5 Euros per month for this feature.

A2 Fernando: consumer and telehealth presence. People have proven time and time again that they’re willing to pay for high-quality communications. There will be a combination of user-paid and ad-supported models.

A3 Udo, NSN: if the operator can deliver the seamless and consistent experience across the multiple screens, there is a branding value. Operators can avoid churn – that’s hidden revenue that can be realized.

A4 Ashley, Shiny TV: on the Internet, monetization will be about advertising. Pre-rolls and contextual based advertising. What we’ll see more of is product placement like what Bebo is doing. In terms of televisions moving to connectivity, this could be a huge opportunity. If you can take Internet-like services where people are more likely to pay, then there might be opportunities for monetization.

RETAILERS & TECH SUPPORT FOR THE DIGITAL HOME - Session Abstract

Kurt Scherf sat down with Anthony Rodio, the chief operating officer for support.com for a conversation about how remote support services can complement retailers’ core consumer electronics sales business. Retailers, Scherf notes, are being called upon in growing numbers to provide advice and support to their customers as the consumer electronics purchase process is becoming more complicated. The complexity of consumer electronics products – and in particular home networking equipment – can be a drain on the bottom line. Scherf noted that retailers and home networking equipment vendors still report high return rates for products such as wireless networks (about 30%), even though analysis shows that the vast majority of returned products have no defect at all!

There is a significant opportunity to add support features on top of a consumer electronics sale, said Scherf. Data from Parks Associates’ surveys indicates that high percentages of consumers purchase extended warranties for CE devices such as home computers. There are also significant percentages of consumers who purchase installation and configuration services when they purchase consumer electronics.

Support.com came out of SupportSoft, a company that develops support software and solutions for service providers. Anthony Rodio indicated that support.com’s launch was aided by consumer data from Parks Associates’ 2006 consumer survey Managing the Digital Home: Installation and Support Services. This study indicated to support.com that consumers are willing to pay for a variety of support services, including remote support for their home computers and home networks.

The market for support services is about to grow significantly, Rodio said, as evidenced by what large U.S. retailers like Best Buy and Circuit City have established. Geek Squad earned $2 billion in 2007, which has given many international retailers impetus for examining their own support businesses. Support.com is working with Saturn and Tech Guys, which are large European retailers. The company works with retailers to allow them to brand their services.

Rodio says that working with both service providers and retailers provides some interesting insight into the differences between how these entities deploy and market support services. He indicates that retailers have a marketing advantage for support services, as service providers often have a difficult time charging for their support services. The opportunity is significant for retailers, he noted, as they can not only deploy remote support services to generate profit, but also to eventually reduce truck rolls. Rodio says that the remote support aspect of home IT support services will be critical, as retailers cannot sustain profitability with a large amount of truck roll services.

In terms of major differences in deploying remote support services in the U.S. versus Europe, Rodio says that supporting customers from multiple countries and different languages is a key challenge. He also notes that labor laws and a culture that is less PC-centric than the U.S. will also mean a different approach in Europe.

Recaping the RESIDENTIAL GATEWAYS - Devices Enabling New Services panel at CONNECTIONS Berlin

Kurt Scherf began this session by describing the market landscape of service provider competition in Europe and the rise of the residential gateway and value-added services as key competitive differentiators:

  • Aggressive local loop unbundling in Europe means that service providers are no longer safe from intense competition behind their own borders.
  • Parks Associates’ analysis of the value-added services market indicates that pragmatic services and features will be more popular with subscribers in the early stages. For example, solutions aimed at home IT management, storage, and converged voice services (FMC/femtocell) will be deployed in larger numbers in early stages. The residential gateway will sit at the heart of these services, providing a platform for converged and managed services.
  • Parks Associates is forecasting that households with residential gateways will grow from 26 million at the end of 2008 to more than 70 million by the end of 2012. European households will account for more than 60% of deployments in 2008, and it will still be the largest market in 2012.
  • Residential gateway features will evolve to include home networking, converged voice services, media transcoding/transrating, and storage.

The panelists each introduced themselves:

  • Hans-Joerg Kolbe, Senior Researcher, NEC Europe: NEC runs research labs in Heidelberg, Bonn/St. Augustin. Their work includes security, networking and service-related products. The home gateway is the service origination point for the home and its responsibilities can include media management and voice services. As the RG migrates to a femtocell access point, it can allow mobile devices to become home control devices. Quality of service is an important part of RG function. Can support IMS.
  • Christer Larsson, CEO, Makewave AB / OSGi Alliance: OSGi develops standards to manage the lifecyle of RGs. Ebox system was an independent platform to load services and software apps directly. Christer indicates that most OSGi development and deployment is coming from Asia, including Japan and India.
  • Klaus Milczewsky, Senior Manager for Innovation Management, Technology Management Products & Innovation, Home Gateway Initiative / Deutsche Telekom. Klaus indicates that the RG is serving an important entertainment-centric function, and keys to its success are that it is simple, easy-to-use, and cost-effective for the service provider to deploy. The focus of the Home Gateway Initiative is to leverage existing standards and to fill application holes. Key to future development of HGi specifications will be to work with organizations such as DLNA and to focus on the future functionality of the RG.
  • Frederic Onado, Vice President EMEA, HomePlug Powerline Alliance; Vice President, Marketing & Sales, SPiDCOM Technologies: HomePlug – covers chips to service providers, HomePlug A/V compliance standard will be released next year. SPiDCOM chairs HP Europe. Involved with many other service bodies. OMEGA project is to provide new connectivity in the home – wireless optical transmission.
  • Jim Wallace, Director, Emerging & Home, Segment Marketing, ARM: A common processor at the heart of digital home. There are an average of two ARM processors shipped for every person in the world! Processor power for HD streams. Video drives demand for almost unlimited bandwidth – ARM architecture designed to account. Software complexity growing exponentially.

The question and answer session focused on the key benefits of RGs to the service providers and future applications that we can expect to see.

What data shows that HGs benefit service providers?

• Deutsche Telekom / HGI – opportunity to offer features that customers desire – network management and config are key features.
• HomePlug Alliance/ SPiDCOM Technologies – reduces return rates by several percentage points.
• NEC Europe – cannot function without it – it enables offer of voice services over IP, must have these platforms to keep cable from displacing telcos.

Does RG make the relationship with consumer stickier?

• Not yet enough data.
• Makewave AB / OSGi Alliance– the strength is VAS. Services are table stakes – so RG can reduce expenses for required services.
• NEC Europe – looking to protect consumer from VoIP spam. SPIT is spam over IT Telephony.

Event Summary -- CONNECTIONS Summit in Berlin, Germany – August 29, 2008

Stuart Sikes, president of Parks Associates, welcomed attendees to the CONNECTIONS Europe Summit and provided data and analysis on developments of “digital lifestyle” product and service categories.

Parks Associates’ consumer and industry research has expanded into international markets, which has yielded interesting insights. For example, Global Digital Living studies shed light into the important role that digital media (such as online video) and home networking would play in certain European markets. Consumer research validates the notion that Europe will be an important market for residential gateways and connected platforms that enable multi-screen access to content and applications.

Sikes identified a number of key elements to the digital lifestyle, and highlighted some key areas that Parks Associates is researching, including:

  • Broadband and value-added services (residential gateways and value-added services);
  • Communications and social media (with a specific eye on fixed-mobile convergence services such as France Telecom’s Unik service and the blending of social networking features such as chat and recommendations with the television experience);
  • Digital entertainment (focusing on broadband video and the emergence of download-to-burn video);
  • Connected devices (IP in TVs, Game Consoles, Photo Frames, DVDs, and intelligent white goods);
  • Support services (offerings from both retailers and service providers that focus on remote management, support, and configuration services);
  • Television services (visual networking, Internet “best practices” such as personalization and targeted advertising migrating to the television, interactive services, and remote access to TV content and applications);
  • Home management (looking specifically at remote monitoring and energy management as key drivers); and
  • Digital health (examining how technology for reporting and health status can assist insurers and governments with managing an ever-growing base of consumers in need of health services).

Panel summaries have here:

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Parks Associates at ShowStoppers

Parks Associates Vice President of Research, Kurt Scherf attended the ShowStoppers press reception on Wednesday, August 27th in Berlin, Germany.

Read Kurt's comments here.

Thursday, August 7, 2008

Evolution of Video Services Panel at CONNECTIONS Europe

On August 29th in Berlin, Germany, Parks Associates will host a panel at the CONNECTIONS™ Europe Summit called "Evolution of Video Devices." Kurt Scherf, Vice President, Principal Analyst, Parks Associates will moderate this panel.

The evolution of video delivery and consumption means new opportunities for consumer electronics platforms. This panel examines the role and function of entertainment platforms, including the television, the set-top box, the game console, the home computer, portable devices, and mobile phones, with an in-depth discussion on the enabling technologies behind the evolution of these products.

Confirmed speakers include:
Richard Bullwinkle, Chief Evangelist, Macrovision;
Laurent Jabiol, CEO & Co-Founder, Neotion;
John LeMoncheck, President & CEO, WirelessHD;
Eugen Pfumfel, Principal Engineer, Toshiba Electronics Europe GmbH; and
Bernhard von Canstein, Director of Business Development for Europe, Qualcomm

For more information about this panel or the agenda, please visit: www.connectionseurope.com